Economic Forecast Archives

Feb20
The Curse Of Beijing Olympics: Or Why Chinese Stock Market Will Crash Despite The Chinese Economy
Yesterday I attended a seminar on what to expect of the Chinese economy and stock market in the coming year. Lucky to know, I wasn't the most pessimistic one there. There was a lot of talk about the bullish Chinese...
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Dec 6
Speculation To Realization: Tighter Monetary Policy In 2008 China
China will tighten monetary policy significantly next year, confirming speculation about the outcome of yesterday's top-level meeting. The central bank and the National Development and Reform Commission will review its 2008 monetary policy to "tight," a tougher stance than the previous "stable-to-tight"... Continue Reading
Oct13
The Myths of GDP
“To surpass Britain and catch up with the U.S.” This has been China’s dream for 50 years. According to recent World Bank Statistics, China’s GDP reached US$2.26 trillion, a little higher than Britain, becoming the fourth largest economy in the... Continue Reading
Oct 2
Survey Says: Chinese Consumers Are More Confident Than Americans
Last week, the well-known U.S. - based Michigan Consulting Group released a survey showing that the consumer confidence index in the United States was 82.0 while China’s stood at 106.9. The high consumer confidence, in general, indicated that consumers likely... Continue Reading
Sep19
China’s Inflation and the World Economy
To the whole world, the low–cost imports from China have helped keeping the inflation rates in check for many years. Without that, inflation and interest rates would have been significantly higher. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. import... Continue Reading
Sep18
Oil Prices and Politicians
The falling gasoline prices have become a hot topic this week; most of the people seem to agree that the market supply and demand theory cannot explain the ups and downs of the gasoline price. There must be something else,... Continue Reading
 


Why Would the Gasoline Prices Go Down?
Angry Bear on China’s Labor Supply
Business Cycle
A Simple Fact
Staying Single
Meet the Seniors
Ten Years on the East Side of the River, Ten Years on the West Side of the River

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